Cracker Barrel Old Stock Performance

CBRL Stock  USD 30.12  1.69  5.94%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.88, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cracker Barrel will likely underperform. At this point, Cracker Barrel Old has a negative expected return of -0.0276%. Please make sure to confirm Cracker Barrel's potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Cracker Barrel Old performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cracker Barrel Old has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Cracker Barrel is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.94
Five Day Return
(3.59)
Year To Date Return
12.18
Ten Year Return
(77.30)
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0332
Payout Ratio
0.6452
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1
Dividend Date
2026-02-11
 
Cracker Barrel dividend paid on 12th of November 2025
11/12/2025
1
Acquisition by Gmt Capital Corp of 70293 shares of Cracker Barrel at 42.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
Disposition of 42400 shares by Gmt Capital Corp of Cracker Barrel at 28.6 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
3
CRACKER BARREL REPORTS FIRST QUARTER FISCAL 2026 RESULTS AND UPDATES FISCAL 2026 OUTLOOK
12/09/2025
4
Cracker Barrel Spreads Holiday Cheer with Free Toys for Kids and Festive Offers for Families
12/10/2025
5
Disposition of 42400 shares by Gmt Capital Corp of Cracker Barrel at 26.13 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
6
Gmt Capital Corp Sells 42,400 Shares of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Stock - MarketBeat
12/31/2025
7
Disposition of 42400 shares by Gmt Capital Corp of Cracker Barrel at 27.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
8
Cracker Barrel Welcomes Winter with the Return of Beloved Classics and Addition of New Favorites, All on the Meals for Two Menu Starting at 19.99
01/06/2026
9
Cracker Barrel caves to customer pressure as it brings back menu favorites nationwide
01/07/2026
10
Congressman Who Was Top 2025 Stock Picker Buys Shares Of 5M Company Youve Never Heard Of
01/09/2026
11
Cracker Barrel Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why
01/15/2026
12
Disposition of 318 shares by Jim Spurgin of Cracker Barrel at 32.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
13
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Stock Price Down 3.9 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/22/2026
14
Cracker Barrel Joins America250 to Celebrate 250 Years of The Traditions, Stories and Comfort Food That Bring Americans Together
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow12 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-156.7 M

Cracker Barrel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,202  in Cracker Barrel Old on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (190.00) from holding Cracker Barrel Old or give up 5.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cracker Barrel Old is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.8156% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Cracker, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cracker Barrel is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Cracker Barrel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cracker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.12 90 days 30.12 
about 36.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cracker Barrel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.77 (This Cracker Barrel Old probability density function shows the probability of Cracker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.88 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cracker Barrel will likely underperform. Additionally Cracker Barrel Old has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cracker Barrel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cracker Barrel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cracker Barrel Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3030.1233.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7025.5233.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.9824.7928.61
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.5029.1232.33
Details

Cracker Barrel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cracker Barrel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cracker Barrel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cracker Barrel Old, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cracker Barrel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.88
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Cracker Barrel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cracker Barrel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cracker Barrel Old can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cracker Barrel Old generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cracker Barrel Old has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cracker Barrel Old currently holds 1.13 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Cracker Barrel Old has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cracker Barrel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Cracker Barrel shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cracker Barrel Joins America250 to Celebrate 250 Years of The Traditions, Stories and Comfort Food That Bring Americans Together

Cracker Barrel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cracker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cracker Barrel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cracker Barrel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments39.6 M

Cracker Barrel Fundamentals Growth

Cracker Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cracker Barrel, and Cracker Barrel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cracker Stock performance.

About Cracker Barrel Performance

By examining Cracker Barrel's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cracker Barrel's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cracker Barrel is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 28.00  26.60 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 

Things to note about Cracker Barrel Old performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cracker Barrel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cracker Barrel Old help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cracker Barrel Old generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cracker Barrel Old has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cracker Barrel Old currently holds 1.13 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Cracker Barrel Old has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cracker Barrel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Cracker Barrel shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cracker Barrel Joins America250 to Celebrate 250 Years of The Traditions, Stories and Comfort Food That Bring Americans Together
Evaluating Cracker Barrel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cracker Barrel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cracker Barrel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cracker Barrel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cracker Barrel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cracker Barrel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cracker Barrel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cracker Barrel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cracker Barrel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cracker Barrel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cracker Barrel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cracker Barrel Old is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cracker Barrel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cracker Barrel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cracker Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cracker Barrel Old. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cracker Barrel. Projected growth potential of Cracker fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Cracker Barrel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
0.74
Revenue Per Share
154.28
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Understanding Cracker Barrel Old requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cracker's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Cracker Barrel's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cracker Barrel's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cracker Barrel's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cracker Barrel should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cracker Barrel's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.